I believe McCain is going to lose tomorrow. Polls are imperfect, but things are looking pretty bleek for McCain right now. Even if he had a chance to win, the media has convinced most people (including me) that the election is already over. That will probably suppress the McCain vote to some degree.
McCain was dealt a bad hand from the very beginning. Bush is one of the most hated presidents in a long time. The economy decided to take a dive around the time the election was really getting in gear. The Republicans are getting a lot of the blame for that, rightfully or not.
Even with all that though, I think McCain could have won. The old McCain (from the 2000 election) could have honestly said he disagreed with the mainstream Republicans on lots of issues. Instead, this time, McCain decided to pander to the right and made himself look more like a Bush Republican than he really is. Also, he ran a very negative campaign and harped on issues that most Americans didn’t seem to care about.
Yes, even with all that, I agree with him on far more issues than I agree with Obama.
http://fivethirtyeight.com puts McCain’s chances of winning at 1.8%. Essentially, it’s over.
[...] Missouri, Indiana, and North Carolina are still too close to call. Obama ran an excellent campaign, McCain didn’t. You just can’t do that when the deck is stacked against [...]